A newly released report details the outcomes from potential near-term space-related scenarios that could significantly impact U.S. public perception, resourcing, and policy.

Image credit: OpenAI’s DALL·E.

The series of high-stakes, seminar-style wargames is designed to prepare U.S. leaders for possible space occurrences over the next two to three decades.

The simulations focused on scenarios that might plausibly confront the United States within the next two administrations.

A number of the scenarios were direct challenges by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to U.S. leadership in space.

Image credit: AFPC

Space scenarios

Reacting to Major Space Events at or Below Geostationary Orbit is a report of the American Foreign Policy Council (AFPC). The organization is “dedicated to bringing information to those who make or influence the foreign policy of the United States.”

Image credit: OpenAI’s DALL·E.

Scenario 1: Incident in the Cosmos — The Downing of a U.S. Satellite

Scenario 2: The Red Celestial Guard—PRC’s Co-orbital  ASAT Constellation

Scenario 3: Orbital Tensions—Satellite Sabotage Showdown

 

Scenario 4: Celestial Vanguard—PLA’s Spaceplane Squadron Emergence

Scenario 5: Solar Sentinel—PRC’s Leap in Space-Based Power

Scenario 6: Celestial Core—PRC’s First Space Nuclear Reactor

Image credit: OpenAI’s DALL·E.

Strategic recommendations

The report offers strategic recommendations, such as the need to invest in critical technologies for maintaining and accelerating U.S. space leadership.

How best to prioritize space nuclear power and propulsion, space-based solar power satellites, and spaceplanes?

For the full report – Reacting to Major Space Events at or Below Geostationary Orbit — go to:

https://www.afpc.org/uploads/documents/Workshop_1_-_After_Action_Report_-_6.20.24.pdf

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